This keynote for the leadership meeting for the world’s largest publisher in New York, examined the future challenges in the global media industry, with a view to how they could scale and adapt to market change faster.
by JimCarroll
This keynote for the leadership meeting for the world’s largest publisher in New York, examined the future challenges in the global media industry, with a view to how they could scale and adapt to market change faster.
by JimCarroll
I’m in Vancouver, about to deliver a keynote to a global professional services firm, with the working title, “Extreme Skills Specialization: What Comes Next with Global Talent, Global Organizations?”
The working description goes like this: “The future of every career is either extremely specialized, or
massively general. Most professions are fragmenting into dozens, if not hundreds or thousands of specialities. Someone needs to understand all this, and help organizations tap into narrow bands of knowledge.”
This is a major trend, and perhaps one of the defining trends of the next 10 years. Here’s how I’m presenting the challenges to my audience today:
Think about these challenges in the context of your own organization. Ask your this questions: “what’s the depth of your bench strength?”
Then ask this question: “what do you need to do, from a unique structural perspective, to increase and improve your bench strength, particularly as skills become more specialized, scarce and hard to access.” There’s probable room for lots of innovative thinking there!
by JimCarroll
I’m in Milwaukee today, speaking at a private group of manufacturers from across the country, who work within a particular industry.
The theme, to a broad degree, is the future of manufacturing in the US. I’m covering a huge variety of trends and issues, but two notable themes stand out:
Typical news coverage of the sector is all doom-and-gloom. That’s not quite true; there’s a lot of pain out there, but there are many who are undergoing a real transition.
Did you know Brooks Brothers makes most of its ties in NYC? “Of course we could go to China and make a tie less expensively ….But that’s missing the whole point” commented Joe Dixon, Brooks senior VP of Production, in a recent trade publication. “We do a lot on the fly, which would be hard to do offshore,” states Lauren Rowen, Director of Manufacturing. They are focused on rapid style turnover, fast time to market, short logistics. You can’t do that if you are tying up your inventory on a container ship somewhere.
Here’s an interesting thought about Indiana — a recent study suggested that the “top 25 manufacturing companies have consistently outperformed the DJIA“; “job losses…have largely run their course…” ; “employment will stay steady or expand slightly for next two years or beyond” ; “ranked first in investment-per-worker and private sector R&D“. In other words, they’re not doing too bad. A lot of companies are gone and going, but a 2nd tier has transitioned to the new manufacturing.
I think we’re at a watershed point with manufacturing trends. The reality is, there is plenty of life left in the American manufacturing sector, for those who are choosing to move to what I might call Manufacturing 2.0 — focused on agility, flexibility, fast time to market, automation, mass customization: a whole series of attitudes and capabilities.
There’s a wider issue here too: we’re at the point that many Asian, Chinese and Pacific region manufacturers are going to find that the price of oil, and their inability to act-fast, will be two things that will make them less competitive. They are going to have to focus on rapidity of action, and as I understand it, many of them aren’t positioning with the sophisticated I/T infrastructure and deep insight that other companies in the US and Europe have put in place. So while their advantage has been low cost, they might not have the scalability, flexibility and automation that others are putting in.
To trasnsition to manufacturing 2.0, you have to make BIG BETS. Molex, an electrical manufacturer did, investing $125 million in process transformation. They state they saw a 36 million payback through year one, and expect perhaps a $100 million payback year two. Post flat strategies aren’t for the feint of heart, but the payback can be real.
In other words, it might be renaissance time in manufacturing, if you do the right things, and make the big bets. Spend some time reading the manufacturing posts on this blog, and maybe you’ll find some of the insight and encouragement that you need.
by JimCarroll
At my keynote to the US Association of Actuaries this week, and for a keynote to LOMA last week (an insurance association conference), I played a series of maps that showed the rapid emergence of obesity in the US population from 1995 to the present day, The maps were provided by the Insurance Information Institute.
I challenged the audience to think about what will happen through the next five years: we will see the emergence of “location intelligence dashboards” that will allow such professionals, to examine in real time, the emergence of new risk factors in their industry.
Location intelligence is coming about as organizations learn to link massive stores of information and research to spatial — or map oriented (i.e. Google Maps) information. An entire new profession is emerging at the same time — location intelligence professionals.
This is part of an overall sweeping trend, in which computational analytics play a massive role in the emergence of new careers, businesses and industries. We are entering a time that involves the rapid processing of massive stores of information and unique new ways of analyzing information.I talk about this extensively in my future oriented keynotes and is a topic that is covered in several trends documents on my site.
by JimCarroll
There are a zillion fast, zippy cool trends out there. And then, there are the big, sweeping, massive transformative trends that change entire economies.
I just finished writing an article for an executive publcation. Here’s one reality I pointed out: at a fundamental level, we are witnessing a massive global leveling of wealth throughout the world. Within the decade, the MidEast, Asia, India and China will have had billions of people move into the middle class; North America’s will have witnessed a global equalization in the concept of consumption and standard of living.
The scope of the movement of global wealth is staggering. The OECD estimates that global sovereign wealth funds (Dubai, Singapore, China, etc) are currently worth some $3 trillion; within 5 years, they will triple growth to $10 trillion. If oil stays higher than $70, they will be worth some $15 trillion by 2018.
Let’s put that in perspective. Some of these SWF’s participated in the recent bail out of several Wall Street financial powerhouses, including liquidity investments in CitiBank, Merrill Lynch, Barclays, Bear Stearns (deceased), UBS, Credit Suisse, and the CIBC.
Their total investment? $100 billion. Pocket change.
In other words, North America is becoming but a pipsqueak player in the global economy. That’s why faster is the new fast; organizations that learn to think and DO differently, and who can discover the opportunity unfolding around them in a massive global economy, will be those to thrive in the decade to come. It’s a huge trend, and it’s one that has massive implications.
It’s about strategy-post-flat.
by JimCarroll
I just came back from delivering the opening keynote for the annual meeting of the US Association of Actuaries. This crowd is the risk assessment side of the US life insurance industry, and given the rapid pace of change, their job has become much more difficult through the last several years.
They know that. They also know that there are many who don’t understand the critical role that they play, and so they set out to change that last year, by refocusing on a re-branding of the profession.
It turns out that they did a great job, having just picked up the Corporate Branding Campaign of the Year 2008 from PR Week magazine, even beating out “uber-cool” Tesla Motors.
The re-branding campaign fits with the challenges they are faced with: as the economy speeds up, they have to continually migrate their skills, capabilities and knowledge in order to continually assess new and more challenging forms of risk. One of those new skills might involve their transitioning to the role of “location intelligence professionals,” a trend I’ve written about here. This would involve learning how to marry the vast stores of information on current policy holders to the vast sources of “spatial” (think Google Maps) information emerging online, to come up new forms of assessing insurance risk.
For example, during my keynote, I played a one minute movie of a US map that featured the emergency of obesity in the US population over a 25 year period beginning in 1993. I suggested they might view this, and think about what they could do if they had this type of insight as a “location intelligence capability” on their desktop.
They’re a hot profession, because analytics is hot, mathematics is the new plastic, and they’re in the midst of it. It should be a fun ride for them!



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