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2026
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Leadership Insight: The Real Danger for Your Right Now Is Making a 2027 Decision With a 2017 Mental Model
Here's what I've come to realize with my last set of keynotes: the next great leadership crisis isn't simply resistance to change. It's the growing inability to comprehend how…
The O-Ring Moment
A single physicist, a glass of ice water, and an O-ring explained why the Challenger disaster happened when the experts could not. Sometimes the simplest demonstration cuts…
The 26 Principles, Revisited — #26: Escape Mediocrity — What I Said, and What’s Actually Happening
Part of my “26 Principles, Revisited” series — checking my own math, nine months into the year I predicted. Don't be average. Don't be boring. Be bold. Be fascinating! Day 26…
How Innovation Happens — Lesson #19: Know Which of the Three People You Are
I've been covering the link between future trends and innovation strategies for 30+ years. I went back through my blog posts, stretching to 2002, to dig out the nuggets of…
From the Stage: The Dive-In Movie
One summer, with the kids running out of things to do, I set up an LCD projector and surround sound by the pool and we held a dive-in movie for the neighbourhood. I blogged about…
Keynote Case Study: Vermont Captive Insurance Association — The Acceleration of Risk
At the Vermont Captive Insurance Association's annual conference, Jim Carroll challenged insurance and captive-risk leaders to rethink how quickly the risk environment itself was…
Keynote Case Study: WorldSkills — The Half-Life of a Skill
For WorldSkills, Jim Carroll explored one of the defining themes of the modern economy: the half-life of a skill is shrinking. The keynote addressed how rapid technological change…
The 26 Principles, Revisited — #25: The Collapse of Time — What I Said, and What’s Actually Happening
Part of my “26 Principles, Revisited” series — checking my own math, nine months into the year I predicted. The moment between having an idea and executing it is gone. Day 25…
The Future of AI Is Hitting a Copper Wall. The Answer Is Light.
Twenty-six years ago, I wrote about a future in which manipulating photons would transform computing. In 2006, I challenged 3,000 engineers to imagine it. Now AI is turning that…
How Innovation Happens — Lesson #18: Audit Yourself for Idea-Killing, Daily
I've been covering the link between future trends and innovation strategies for 30+ years. I went back through my blog posts, stretching to 2002, to dig out the nuggets of…
From the Stage: Upside-Down Innovation
When I spent time with Disney, they described how their old innovation model worked for a new movie: design the toys, plan the merchandising, then do the branding. Then they…
Keynote Case Study: Kwik Fit — The Shop Floor Was Changing as Fast as the Car
For roughly 500 Kwik Fit service managers in Birmingham, Jim Carroll framed the future of automotive service around EVs, accelerating vehicle technology and increasingly…
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